MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Joe Mantiply
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Joe Mantiply wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Joe Mantiply
88.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.0%
Joe Mantiply
8.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
19.8%
Joe Mantiply
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.1%
Joe Mantiply
35.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
32.9%
Joe Mantiply
44.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.1%
Joe Mantiply
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.297
Joe Mantiply
.332
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Joe Mantiply
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.04
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24
Joe Mantiply
.9001.50
now 1.13
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4032.60
now 6
25
Joe Mantiply
4032.60
now 16
14
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0001.48
now 0
00
Joe Mantiply
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCaleb Ferguson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
Hold · wait & seeJoe Mantiply — hold.conf 0.50
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