MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Jose Franco
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Jose Franco wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Jose Franco
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.5%
Jose Franco
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
21.3%
Jose Franco
16.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.7%
Jose Franco
24.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Jose Franco
34.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.8%
Jose Franco
11.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.296
Jose Franco
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
26.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Jose Franco
26.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.43
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9002.17
now 0.60
1.24
Jose Franco
.9002.17
now 1.72
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4034
now 6
26
Jose Franco
4034
now 15
18
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Jose Franco
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJose Franco — hold.conf 0.50
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