MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Will Dion
Will Dion
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 0 (none); Will Dion wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Will Dion
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.5%
Will Dion
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
21.3%
Will Dion
30.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.7%
Will Dion
36.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Will Dion
32.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.8%
Will Dion
2.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.296
Will Dion
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Will Dion
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9002.32
now 0.60
1.24
Will Dion
.9002.32
now 1.83
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4034
now 6
26
Will Dion
4034
now 8
26
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.000.480
now 0
00
Will Dion
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowWill Dion — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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