MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Ryan Walker
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Walker.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Caleb Thielbar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Ryan Walker wins 2 categories (K, SV); Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Ryan Walker
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.1%
Ryan Walker
6.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
29.3%
Ryan Walker
16.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
37.6%
Ryan Walker
26.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
32.8%
Ryan Walker
33.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
12.1%
Ryan Walker
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.306
Ryan Walker
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
27.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Ryan Walker
27.91
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.46
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9802.15
now 1.34
1.24
Ryan Walker
.9802.15
now 1.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4036.40
now 15
24
Ryan Walker
4036.40
now 14
30
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0007
now 2
25
Ryan Walker
.0007
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0008
now 2
16
Ryan Walker
.0008
now 3
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowRyan Walker — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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