MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carmen Mlodzinski wins 2 (K, W); Dustin May wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
95.0
Dustin May
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
9.6%
Dustin May
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
18.6%
Dustin May
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
30.4%
Dustin May
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.2%
Dustin May
46.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
7.2%
Dustin May
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.339
Dustin May
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
3.414.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.76
4.64
Dustin May
3.414.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.98
WHIPlower is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
1.231.49
now 1.42
1.38
Dustin May
1.231.49
now 1.30
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
4056.60
now 46
40
Dustin May
4056.60
now 51
39
Winshigher is better
Carmen Mlodzinski
.8006.20
now 4
25
Dustin May
.8006.20
now 3
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCarmen Mlodzinski — sell.conf 0.80
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
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