Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryCorbin
13HR →14
45R →57
34RBI →43
15SB ←11
.278AVG ←.266
Current Season
CarsonCategoryCorbin
4HR →7
28R →37
21RBI →28
9SB ←7
.248AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Benge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Carson Benge: 13 HR / 45 R. Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).