MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Carson Palmquist
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carson Palmquist wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carson Palmquist
91.2
Steven Matz
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carson Palmquist
11.4%
Steven Matz
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carson Palmquist
20.3%
Steven Matz
18.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carson Palmquist
35.4%
Steven Matz
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carson Palmquist
24.5%
Steven Matz
35.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carson Palmquist
4.1%
Steven Matz
12.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carson Palmquist
.320
Steven Matz
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carson Palmquist
25.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
4.10
Steven Matz
25.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.95
WHIPlower is better
Carson Palmquist
.9001.54
now 0.90
1.30
Steven Matz
.9001.54
now 1.24
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carson Palmquist
4047.80
now 3
21
Steven Matz
4047.80
now 35
33
Winshigher is better
Carson Palmquist
.0007
now 0
00
Steven Matz
.0007
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCarson Palmquist — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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