Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryDillon
9HR →13
37R →41
42RBI →58
0SB0
.183AVG →.263
Current Season
CarterCategoryDillon
7HR →13
23R →27
26RBI →38
0SB0
.223AVG →.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.268 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Dillon Dingler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.243 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 37 R. Dillon Dingler: 13 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

