Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryDrake
9HR →14
34R →57
39RBI →56
0SB →1
.187AVG →.283
Current Season
CarterCategoryDrake
7HR →13
23R →39
26RBI →38
0SB →1
.223AVG →.303
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Baldwin's 14 HR / .284 AVG outpaces Jensen's 9 HR / .187 AVG. The average gap is the story. Sell Jensen; acquire Baldwin.