Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryShea
9HR →19
39R →57
44RBI →46
0SB0
.183AVG →.276
Current Season
CarterCategoryShea
7HR →14
23R →37
26RBI →30
0SB0
.223AVG →.293
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Shea Langeliers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 39 R. Shea Langeliers: 19 HR / 57 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).