Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryWilliam
9HR →12
39R →48
44RBI →56
0SB →2
.183AVG →.290
Current Season
CarterCategoryWilliam
7HR ←4
23R →31
26RBI →36
0SB →1
.223AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
William Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 39 R. William Contreras: 12 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).