Rest of Season Projection
CaseyCategoryJosh
14HR ←12
42R ←41
51RBI ←47
8SB ←1
.266AVG ←.232
Current Season
CaseyCategoryJosh
12HR ←5
27R →28
33RBI ←32
5SB ←1
.289AVG ←.225
What Each Player's System Trusts
Casey Schmitt
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.354, +0.039 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Josh Bell
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse
Casey Schmitt: 14 HR / 42 R. Josh Bell: 12 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).