MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS · CF
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MIN · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Ceddanne Rafaela wins 2 (RBI, SB); Trevor Larnach wins 2 (R, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
86.7
Trevor Larnach
87.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
33.6%
Trevor Larnach
35.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
5.8%
Trevor Larnach
8.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
42.2%
Trevor Larnach
29.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
13.6%
Trevor Larnach
11.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.288
Trevor Larnach
.338
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.240.290
lg AVG .295
now .275
.250
Trevor Larnach
.240.290
lg AVG .295
now .262
.258

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
56.20
now 5
2
Trevor Larnach
56.20
now 3
2
Runshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
2030.80
now 23
14
Trevor Larnach
2030.80
now 26
19
RBIhigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
2027.40
now 23
14
Trevor Larnach
2027.40
now 17
12
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.0008
now 6
4
Trevor Larnach
.0008
now 2
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCeddanne Rafaela — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
BuyTrevor Larnach — buy.conf 0.65
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