MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Max Fried
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chase Burns.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Max Fried wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.7
Max Fried
95.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Max Fried
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.7%
Max Fried
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Max Fried
28.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
36.9%
Max Fried
30.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.1%
Max Fried
1.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.278
Max Fried
.241
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.18
Max Fried
23.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.21
2.38
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.39
now 0.96
1.22
Max Fried
.9001.39
now 1.01
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
4087.20
now 72
47
Max Fried
4087.20
now 50
34
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009
now 7
36
Max Fried
.0009
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
BuyMax Fried — buy.conf 0.92
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