Who's more valuable, rest of season
Zack Wheeler.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Chase Burns’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Zack Wheeler wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Chase Burns wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.6
Zack Wheeler
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Zack Wheeler
15.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
29.2%
Zack Wheeler
29.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.9%
Zack Wheeler
35.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
38.1%
Zack Wheeler
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
7.8%
Zack Wheeler
6.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.276
Zack Wheeler
.271
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.15
Zack Wheeler
23.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.03
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.37
now 0.96
1.22
Zack Wheeler
.9001.37
now 0.85
1.16
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
4096.40
now 72
15
Zack Wheeler
4096.40
now 40
11
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.40
now 7
1–2
Zack Wheeler
.0009.40
now 4
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.89
BuyZack Wheeler — buy.conf 0.92