MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Gordon Graceffo
Gordon Graceffo
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chase Shugart.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Gordon Graceffo’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chase Shugart wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Gordon Graceffo wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Gordon Graceffo
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.3%
Gordon Graceffo
7.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
27.5%
Gordon Graceffo
14.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.5%
Gordon Graceffo
24.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
37.0%
Gordon Graceffo
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
11.1%
Gordon Graceffo
11.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.325
Gordon Graceffo
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Gordon Graceffo
24.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.80
3.87
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.42
now 0.93
1.24
Gordon Graceffo
.9001.42
now 0.90
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4025.60
now 20
18
Gordon Graceffo
4025.60
now 14
12
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0006.60
now 2
13
Gordon Graceffo
.0006.60
now 4
25
Saveshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.40
now 0
0
Gordon Graceffo
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighGordon Graceffo — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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