Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJack
30K →39
3.70ERA3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJack
20K →24
2.33ERA ←2.78
0.93WHIP ←1.01
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Dreyer
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.40 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Shugart: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Jack Dreyer: 39 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).