Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryCole
30K →36
3.70ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–6W ←1–2
0SV →1–6
Current Season
ChaseCategoryCole
20K ←18
2.33ERA ←5.01
0.93WHIP ←1.54
2W ←1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
Cole Sulser
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.62)
Chase Shugart: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Cole Sulser: 36 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).