MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Erik Miller
Erik Miller
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Erik Miller.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Chase Shugart’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Erik Miller wins 2 categories (K, SV); Chase Shugart wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Erik Miller
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.4%
Erik Miller
14.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
27.2%
Erik Miller
32.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
24.8%
Erik Miller
25.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
36.9%
Erik Miller
28.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
11.9%
Erik Miller
7.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.334
Erik Miller
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
25.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Erik Miller
25.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.41
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.60
now 0.93
1.24
Erik Miller
.9001.60
now 1.41
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4029.60
now 20
18
Erik Miller
4029.60
now 24
24
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0004.20
now 2
13
Erik Miller
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0005.60
now 0
0
Erik Miller
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeErik Miller — hold.conf 0.50
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