Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryNolan
136K ←131
3.18ERA ←3.35
1.11WHIP ←1.24
9–19W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryNolan
80K ←77
2.01ERA ←4.21
0.94WHIP ←1.12
8W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Sale
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.18 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Nolan McLean
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.35, 0.75 below league — production is earned
Chris Sale: 136 K / 3.18 ERA. Nolan McLean: 131 K / 3.35 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).