Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryJorge
8HR →14
53R ←42
45RBI →51
8SB ←0
.210AVG →.213
Current Season
ChristianCategoryJorge
4HR →9
21R →27
18RBI →33
3SB ←0
.275AVG ←.221
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.389 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.292 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jorge Soler
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 53 R. Jorge Soler: 14 HR / 42 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).