Rest of Season Projection
ChristianCategoryKody
8HR →13
53R ←37
45RBI ←32
8SB →9
.210AVG →.233
Current Season
ChristianCategoryKody
4HR →6
21R21
18RBI18
3SB →5
.275AVG ←.235
What Each Player's System Trusts
Christian Yelich
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.389 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.292 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kody Clemens
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.322)
Christian Yelich: 8 HR / 53 R. Kody Clemens: 13 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).