Rest of Season Projection
CionelCategoryRyne
21K →44
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–6W ←1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
CionelCategoryRyne
10K →30
5.82ERA →5.56
1.59WHIP ←1.76
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cionel Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.47 is 2.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryne Stanek
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.91 sits 0.19 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.323 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cionel Pérez: 21 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryne Stanek: 45 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).