Rest of Season Projection
ClayCategoryGrayson
79K ←75
3.79ERA ←4.10
1.33WHIP →1.30
4–9W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
ClayCategoryGrayson
45K ←14
2.39ERA ←7.53
1.10WHIP ←1.67
4W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Clay Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.252 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.79 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Grayson Rodriguez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.66)
Clay Holmes: 79 K / 3.79 ERA. Grayson Rodriguez: 75 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).