Rest of Season Projection
ColbyCategoryHenry
9HR ←4
22R ←15
22RBI ←15
0SB →15
.228AVG →.234
Current Season
ColbyCategoryHenry
1HR ←0
5R ←4
5RBI ←4
0SB →4
.268AVG →.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colby Thomas
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.304)
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.448 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.290 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Colby Thomas: 9 HR / 22 R. Henry Bolte: 4 HR / 15 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).