Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryIsaac
4HR →5
15R →31
15RBI →24
15SB ←4
.234AVG ←.208
Current Season
HenryCategoryIsaac
0HR →3
4R →21
4RBI →16
4SB ←3
.288AVG ←.216
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.448 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.290 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Isaac Collins
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.305)
Henry Bolte: 4 HR / 15 R. Isaac Collins: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).