Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryWenceel
4HR →7
15R →29
15RBI →19
15SB ←5
.234AVG ←.204
Current Season
HenryCategoryWenceel
0HR →5
4R →17
4RBI →11
4SB ←3
.288AVG ←.161
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.448 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.290 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Wenceel Pérez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.272 below league with no luck excuse
Henry Bolte: 4 HR / 15 R. Wenceel Pérez: 7 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).