Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryNathan
4HR ←3
15R →22
15RBI →25
15SB ←0
.234AVG →.285
Current Season
HenryCategoryNathan
0HR0
4R →8
4RBI →9
4SB ←0
.288AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.448 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.290 is 0.064 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nathan Lukes
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.307)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.359 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Henry Bolte: 4 HR / 15 R. Nathan Lukes: 3 HR / 22 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).