Rest of Season Projection
ColemanCategoryTyler
45K →94
4.10ERA →4.05
1.30WHIP ←1.38
0–0W →1–2
0SV0
Current Season
ColemanCategoryTyler
8K →57
3.14ERA ←6.04
0.98WHIP ←1.54
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Coleman Crow
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.77)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Coleman Crow: 46 K / 4.10 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).