Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryMark
37K →46
3.69ERA ←3.74
1.24WHIP1.24
3–9W ←0–0
0SV →5–9
Current Season
ColinCategoryMark
23K →25
2.14ERA ←5.47
0.81WHIP ←1.46
3W ←0
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.76 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Mark Leiter Jr.
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Colin Holderman: 37 K / 3.69 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 46 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).