MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Hunter Brown
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 2 (WHIP, W); Hunter Brown wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Hunter Brown
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Hunter Brown
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
Hunter Brown
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
Hunter Brown
26.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
Hunter Brown
38.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Hunter Brown
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.320
Hunter Brown
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
25.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.24
Hunter Brown
25.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.84
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
.9001.59
now 1.16
1.31
Hunter Brown
.9001.59
now 1.03
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4077.20
now 57
42
Hunter Brown
4077.20
now 17
60
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0006.60
now 5
25
Hunter Brown
.0006.60
now 1
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
BuyHunter Brown — buy.conf 0.71
Tweet