Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 2–2. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV n/a
Connelly Early wins 2 (ERA, W); Matthew Boyd wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Matthew Boyd
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
Matthew Boyd
22.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
Matthew Boyd
32.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
Matthew Boyd
41.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Matthew Boyd
9.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.321
Matthew Boyd
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
27.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.27
Matthew Boyd
27.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.31
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.091.38
now 1.16
1.31
Matthew Boyd
1.091.38
now 1.29
1.29
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4067.40
now 57
45
Matthew Boyd
4067.40
now 31
51
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.8006.20
now 5
2–5
Matthew Boyd
.8006.20
now 2
2–5
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
SellMatthew Boyd — sell.conf 0.65
