MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Hunter Greene
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Hunter Greene.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Connelly Early’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Hunter Greene wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Connelly Early wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Hunter Greene
98.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Hunter Greene
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
Hunter Greene
27.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
Hunter Greene
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
Hunter Greene
46.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Hunter Greene
5.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.320
Hunter Greene
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.23
Hunter Greene
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 21.60
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
.9002.55
now 1.16
1.31
Hunter Greene
.9002.55
now 3.30
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4084
now 57
40
Hunter Greene
4084
now 7
62
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
25
Hunter Greene
.0007
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeHunter Greene — hold.conf 0.55
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