MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 2 (K, WHIP); Stephen Kolek wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Stephen Kolek
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Stephen Kolek
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
Stephen Kolek
15.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
Stephen Kolek
26.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
Stephen Kolek
36.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Stephen Kolek
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.320
Stephen Kolek
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.444.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.23
Stephen Kolek
2.444.74
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.82
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
.9001.47
now 1.16
1.31
Stephen Kolek
.9001.47
now 0.94
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4072.20
now 57
40
Stephen Kolek
4072.20
now 19
25
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.8006.20
now 5
25
Stephen Kolek
.8006.20
now 3
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyStephen Kolek — hold.conf 0.60
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