Who's more valuable, rest of season
Stephen Kolek.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Connelly Early’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
▶
SV n/a
Stephen Kolek wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Connelly Early wins 1 (K); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
93.8
Stephen Kolek
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
10.5%
Stephen Kolek
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
22.0%
Stephen Kolek
17.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.5%
Stephen Kolek
26.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
42.3%
Stephen Kolek
38.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
11.4%
Stephen Kolek
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.331
Stephen Kolek
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.384.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.37
Stephen Kolek
2.384.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
4.03
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
.9001.50
now 1.16
1.34
Stephen Kolek
.9001.50
now 0.94
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
40114.20
now 57
87
Stephen Kolek
40114.20
now 19
47
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.00014.20
now 5
5–10
Stephen Kolek
.00014.20
now 3
5–11
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
SellConnelly Early — sell.conf 0.68
Sell HighStephen Kolek — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.84