MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 1 (ERA); Tanner Bibee wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Tanner Bibee
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.0%
Tanner Bibee
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.5%
Tanner Bibee
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.2%
Tanner Bibee
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
39.9%
Tanner Bibee
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Tanner Bibee
8.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.317
Tanner Bibee
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.305.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.21
Tanner Bibee
2.305.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
4.26
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.091.37
now 1.16
1.30
Tanner Bibee
1.091.37
now 1.30
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4084
now 57
0
Tanner Bibee
4084
now 60
0
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0007
now 5
0–0
Tanner Bibee
.0007
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighConnelly Early — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · leans sellTanner Bibee — hold.conf 0.60
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