Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryWilyer
13HR →15
54R ←37
41RBI ←35
10SB ←6
.267AVG →.283
Current Season
CorbinCategoryWilyer
7HR ←6
37R ←26
28RBI ←24
7SB ←4
.286AVG ←.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.346 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.361 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Wilyer Abreu
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.350, +0.035 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll: 13 HR / 54 R. Wilyer Abreu: 15 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).