Rest of Season Projection
DanielCategoryJake
34K ←31
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →1–3
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
DanielCategoryJake
27K ←20
1.93ERA ←5.00
0.99WHIP ←1.33
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.233 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.96 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.04 sits 0.06 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.364 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Daniel Lynch IV: 34 K / 3.68 ERA. Jake Bird: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).