Rest of Season Projection
DanielCategoryJason
34K ←26
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
DanielCategoryJason
27K ←11
1.93ERA →0.90
0.99WHIP ←1.00
1W →2
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.233 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.88 is 0.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.82 above the ERA — regression coming
Daniel Lynch IV: 34 K / 3.67 ERA. Jason Adam: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).