Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJason
30K ←26
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←2–5
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJason
20K ←11
2.33ERA →0.90
0.93WHIP ←1.00
2W2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.75)
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.82 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Shugart: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Jason Adam: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).