Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryLuke
26K →37
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W2–4
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JasonCategoryLuke
11K →25
0.90ERA ←2.77
1.00WHIP ←1.04
2W2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.82 above the ERA — regression coming
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.225 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.25 is 0.85 above the ERA — regression coming
Jason Adam: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Luke Weaver: 37 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).