Rest of Season Projection
DanielCategoryJonathan
34K ←29
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →1–3
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
DanielCategoryJonathan
27K ←16
1.93ERA ←4.67
0.99WHIP ←1.15
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.233 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.96 above the ERA — regression coming
Jonathan Bowlan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.53 sits 1.57 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.316 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Daniel Lynch IV: 34 K / 3.68 ERA. Jonathan Bowlan: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).