MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Gregory Soto
Gregory Soto
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

David Bednar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Gregory Soto’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

David Bednar wins 2 categories (K, SV); Gregory Soto wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.1
Gregory Soto
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
16.4%
Gregory Soto
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
28.2%
Gregory Soto
27.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
39.5%
Gregory Soto
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
37.8%
Gregory Soto
33.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
4.2%
Gregory Soto
5.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.260
Gregory Soto
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
25.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.67
Gregory Soto
25.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.95
3.66
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
.9001.91
now 1.58
1.24
Gregory Soto
.9001.91
now 0.76
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4037.60
now 29
22
Gregory Soto
4037.60
now 32
20
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.0005.60
now 1
01
Gregory Soto
.0005.60
now 4
24
Saveshigher is better
David Bednar
.00015.60
now 12
611
Gregory Soto
.00015.60
now 7
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeGregory Soto — hold.conf 0.50
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