Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryGregory
52K ←45
3.67ERA →3.60
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →4–9
14–26SV ←8–15
Current Season
DavidCategoryGregory
29K →32
4.50ERA →1.95
1.58WHIP →0.76
1W →4
12SV ←7
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Bednar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.83)
Gregory Soto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.153 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.32 is 0.41 above the ERA — regression coming
David Bednar: 52 K / 3.67 ERA. Gregory Soto: 45 K / 3.60 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).