Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryJorge
6HR6
33R ←27
22RBI ←19
0SB0
.193AVG ←.171
Current Season
DavidCategoryJorge
3HR ←1
12R ←10
8RBI ←7
0SB0
.259AVG ←.170
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jorge Barrosa
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.212)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. Jorge Barrosa: 6 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).