Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryJosé
6HR ←0
33R ←13
22RBI →29
0SB0
.193AVG ←.188
Current Season
DavidCategoryJosé
3HR ←2
12R ←4
8RBI →9
0SB0
.259AVG ←.217
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
José Fermín
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.259)
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. José Fermín: 0 HR / 13 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).