MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
David Morgan
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); David Morgan wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Morgan
97.4
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Morgan
16.1%
Louis Varland
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Morgan
24.8%
Louis Varland
34.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Morgan
36.3%
Louis Varland
36.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Morgan
27.0%
Louis Varland
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Morgan
1.6%
Louis Varland
2.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Morgan
.284
Louis Varland
.223
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Morgan
27.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
Louis Varland
27.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.06
WHIPlower is better
David Morgan
.9002.23
now 1.89
1.24
Louis Varland
.9002.23
now 1.03
1.09

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Morgan
4052
now 17
19
Louis Varland
4052
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
David Morgan
.2003.80
now 2
13
Louis Varland
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
David Morgan
.00011.20
now 0
0
Louis Varland
.00011.20
now 8
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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