Rest of Season Projection
DavisCategoryZack
96K ←83
3.78ERA →3.22
1.20WHIP →1.13
8–16W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
DavisCategoryZack
71K ←40
2.00ERA ←2.27
0.99WHIP →0.85
8W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Davis Martin
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.78)
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.22 is 1.00 above the ERA — regression coming
Davis Martin: 98 K / 3.66 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 85 K / 3.21 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).