Rest of Season Projection
JoeCategoryZack
107K ←83
3.08ERA ←3.22
1.11WHIP ←1.13
4–8W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
JoeCategoryZack
79K ←40
3.20ERA →2.27
0.97WHIP →0.85
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joe Ryan
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.08)
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.22 is 1.00 above the ERA — regression coming
Joe Ryan: 107 K / 3.08 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 83 K / 3.22 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).