Rest of Season Projection
DevinCategoryGregory
59K ←45
3.70ERA →3.60
1.24WHIP1.24
4–8W →4–9
10–19SV ←8–15
Current Season
DevinCategoryGregory
31K →32
5.40ERA →1.95
1.55WHIP →0.76
3W →4
8SV ←7
What Each Player's System Trusts
Devin Williams
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.03)
Gregory Soto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.153 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.32 is 0.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Devin Williams: 59 K / 3.70 ERA. Gregory Soto: 45 K / 3.60 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).