Rest of Season Projection
GregoryCategoryLucas
45K ←36
3.60ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
4–9W ←3–7
8–15SV →13–25
Current Season
GregoryCategoryLucas
32K ←18
1.95ERA ←6.33
0.76WHIP ←1.92
4W ←3
7SV →11
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gregory Soto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.153 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.32 is 0.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Lucas Erceg
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.41)
Gregory Soto: 45 K / 3.60 ERA. Lucas Erceg: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).