MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Michael Lorenzen wins 0 (none); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Michael Lorenzen
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.5%
Michael Lorenzen
8.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.1%
Michael Lorenzen
15.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
29.8%
Michael Lorenzen
25.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Michael Lorenzen
46.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.5%
Michael Lorenzen
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.306
Michael Lorenzen
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
2.598.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.91
Michael Lorenzen
2.598.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.22
5.09
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.062.14
now 1.30
1.33
Michael Lorenzen
1.062.14
now 1.90
1.51

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4057.80
now 51
37
Michael Lorenzen
4057.80
now 43
34
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.2003.80
now 3
13
Michael Lorenzen
.2003.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
SellMichael Lorenzen — sell.conf 0.90
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